In response to the COVID-19 epidemic, the University of Minnesota School of Public Health and Minnesota Department of Health (MDH) joined forces in mid-March, 2020, to build a mathematical model to predict the potential impact of COVID-19 in Minnesota.
The model is based on currently available evidence on the epidemic. The R code underlying the latest version (v. 3.0) was released publicly on May 13, 2020. Access to the code is provided below.
Questions or comments about the code?
Contact the project group: covid19model@umn.edu
Access the Code
COVID-19 model R code (access model version 3.0 through github repository)
Important Code Information
- The provided R code is pre-programmed to run scenarios 1-4 in version 3.0 of the Minnesota COVID-19 model
- To generate ICU demand outcomes as reported in our results, run scenario code with unconstrained ICU capacity.
- To generate all other outcomes, run scenario code with default ICU capacity constraints.
- Provided code can also be used to generate plots of outcomes over time (ICU demand, prevalent infections, cumulative deaths, etc.). Model parameters are set to base case values by default.
- Using the code assumes basic knowledge of R and use of mathematical models. Technical support, over and above the existing documentation and FAQs (refer to links under “Resources”), is unavailable.
Resources
- Model outcomes of scenarios 1-4 (PDF): Minnesota COVID-19 Model, version 3.0
- Technical documentation (MDH): Minnesota COVID-19 Model, version 3.0
- FAQs (MDH): Minnesota COVID-19 Model, version 3.0
More from the School of Public Health
- “Modeling COVID-19 for Minnesota” feature story
- Health in All Matters podcast, Episode 3: “Why Models Matter”
